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Borg-Warner Trophy
For a '500' Answer, Start In The First Two Rows

Who will win the 99th Running of the Indianapolis 500? With “The Greatest Spectacle in Racing” just one day away, it’s the question Verizon IndyCar Series fans are asking--and the answer might be contained within the first two rows.

Polesitter Scott Dixon has been a rocket all month in his Target Chip Ganassi Racing Chevy, and with a pair of poor finishes at the last two “500s,” the New Zealander could be on the way to earning his second trip to Victory Lane at Indy. He’ll always have the 2008 victory, but as one of the greatest of his generation, the Kiwi should have two or three Indy wins on his resume before he retires.

Team Penske’s Will Power starts alongside Dixon, and if his recent oval-winning form is an indicator of his readiness to capture an Indy 500 win, the Australian is another driver to pencil in for a top finish. Penske’s Simon Pagenaud is the final driver on the front row, and while he’s come quite a long way on ovals, another year of coaching from Rick Mears might be the magic ingredient needed before the Frenchman capture’s the biggest win of his life.

Row 2 features Dixon’s 2013 Indy 500-winning teammate Tony Kanaan who has been quick at times, and Helio Castroneves, who finds himself in the odd position of being the most successful Penske driver in the race, yet third fastest within the four-car team. Could Helio win his fourth Indy 500 from the middle of the second row? Absolutely, but it won’t be easy with a hungry front row to work through. 

Honda’s fastest qualifier completes the second row, and Andretti Autosport’s Justin Wilson could be poised to lead the Japanese brand’s charge against Chevy’s front-running fleet. The Bowtie took the top 5 positions in qualify and own seven of the nine spots in the first three rows, building a formidable barrier for the Honda’s to break through.

The third row features KVSH Racing’s Sebastien Bourdais, who has been quietly impressive all month, and he has the always dangerous Marco Andretti to his right. Andretti’s form at Indy is always a highlight of the season, and he’s expected to rise to the challenge on Sunday. Completing the third row is Josef Newgarden, who overcame a spectacular crash earlier in the week to qualify ninth for the three-car CFH Racing stable. 

The list of darkhorses behind Newgarden is surprisingly long. His CFH teammate JR Hildebrand has often been the fastest car in their stable, and he won’t have far to go from 10th. The third member of CFH, Ed Carpenter, also overcame a practice crash to qualify 12th, and is a genuine threat. 

Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing’s Oriol Servia (13th) is worth keeping an eye on, defending Indy 500 winner Ryan Hunter-Reay is always strong once the green flag waves, and fellow Honda runner Graham Rahal has been incredibly effective in numerous races this year.

The list of sleepers is compact, but don’t forget some of the entries with a strong prospect of punching well above their weight. Alex Tagliani (20th) has a special feel for Indy, and was the fastest of three A.J. Foyt Racing drivers. His Foyt teammate Takuma Sato (24th) always shows up for the race, and should move up from the eighth row.

Ganassi’s Sebastian Saavedra (27th) wasn’t pleased after qualifying but has been strong all month long, and if you look to the final row, three chargers are prepared to make a long distance drive to a more representative position. Schmidt Peterson Motorsports’ Ryan Briscoe (31st) is filling in for James Hinchcliffe and will use his smarts to make gains, and Dale Coyne’s duo of Tristan Vautier (32nd) and James Davison (33rd) could hold the keys to the most unexpected performances. 

Don’t be surprised if a Chevy wins, but if the ambient temperatures rise, the thin air could favor the Hondas and their higher downforce race package. Like every recent Indy 500, there’s no way to predict who will win, but one thing is for sure: the 99th event will feature plenty of surprises before a new champion is crowned.

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